Degrees of certainty with modal verbs

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The police believe it's possible the thieves got in through an open window. = The thieves ... (might) through an open window, according to the police.

Wow

I very much doubt the painting is worth a lot. = If you ask me, the painting... (be) a lot.

can't be worth

I'm sure it took ages to write the report as it's so detailed. = (must) That report __________ to write, given it's so detailed.

must've taken

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